Is Uganda's Economic Growth Export-Led or Import-Led?

Author(s)
AYELLA RONALD
Advisor
KimTae Bong
Department
국제대학원 국제통상학과
Publisher
Graduate School of International Studies Ajou University
Publication Year
2018-02
Language
eng
Keyword
Economic GrowthExport-Led GrowthImport-Led GrowthCausalityTradeUganda
Alternative Abstract
Most of the previous studies on economic growth and trade openness have mainly singled out the effect of exports on economic growth, and ignored the potential role of imports on economic growth. Also in Uganda’s case, exports have been emphasized and promoted much more by government with the belief that it stimulates economic growth and helps in reducing the persistent trade deficit of the country. This paper re-examines the relationship between trade and economic growth in Uganda with the role of both exports and imports captured. To examine whether growth in trade stimulates economic growth or vice versa in Uganda, Granger causality tests and impulse response functions were used. The results indicate that both the export-led growth and import-led growth hypotheses do not hold for Uganda. However, the growth-led export hypothesis is valid, economic growth stimulates import growth and there is bidirectional causality between exports and imports exports and import for Uganda.
URI
https://dspace.ajou.ac.kr/handle/2018.oak/11557
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Special Graduate Schools > Graduate School of International Studies > Department of International Trade > International Trade > 3. Theses(Master)
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